"It is better to be prepared for an opportunity and not have one than to have an opportunity and not be prepared" (Whitney Moore Young Jr.). As the economy shifts under us, moving from one phase to the next, some preparation for what might be ahead will promote our chances of capturing the opportunities that will be there for the taking.
We may be sure that opportunities will exist, whatever the circumstances.
If house prices continue to fall there will be bargains available to those willing and able to take advantage of them.
If oil prices continue to rise then oil reserves, previously uneconomic, will become worth drilling and refining.
If food shortages spread, then more land will be brought into cultivation, farmers will prosper and agricultural land values will increase.
It’s an open secret: in good time and in bad opportunity consists of looking at the same thing as everyone else and thinking something different. Preparation consists of dreaming what might be and devising contingencies to deal with that situation should it arise.
Most situations will not actually occur. Those that do will not be exactly as we planned. Nevertheless, the fact that we have been thinking ahead makes us better prepared, sooner than those that have just waited to see what turns up before they react, if they ever do.
In business we often find ourselves wrestling with current demands and misadventures. Our days are spent fire fighting, leaving no time to worry about tomorrow. However, this approach, while apparently sensible and seductive, will mean we continue to fight those fires day after day. Being busy will be no protection when the roof caves in.
With the future in mind it is often easier to spot opportunities as they arise. Without that mental preparation the chance goes unremarked. We are familiar with this phenomenon from our own experience. Having bought a new car we immediately notice how many other similar cars there are on the road. Before making the purchase we were totally unaware.
By way of illustration:
Sarah has just left the house after a blazing row with her husband. She was taking a quiet walk to calm down when she notices an unusual funeral procession coming along the road towards her. At the front is a large black hearse and 20 yards behind this is a second black hearse. A solitary woman is walking behind the second hearse with a large, well-groomed Rottweiler dog on a lead. Behind the woman are 50 other women walking single file.
Sarah is very curious and goes over to the woman with the dog and says, “I’m sorry about your loss.”
“Thank you,” says the woman, “you’re very kind.”
“I know it’s a bad time to ask,” says Sarah, “but whose funeral is this?”
“It’s my husband's funeral,” replies the woman.
“So what happened to him?” asks Sarah.
The woman replies, “My dog attacked and killed him.”
“And who is in the second hearse?” asks Sarah.
The woman answers, “My mother-in-law. She was trying to help my husband when the dog turned on her.”
A poignant and thoughtful moment of silence passes between the two women.
“Can I borrow the dog?” asks Sarah.
“Go to the back of the line,” replies the woman.